The panel also called for a vital partnership between scientists, government, and communities to design evidence and data-driven approaches to manage public health in South Africa. While the untold misery and deep humiliation that people endured under colonialism and apartheid cannot be fully compensated, they may have their rights to dignity and equality restored through government laws and other actions. These are ongoing concerns, and the continental response (especially that of the AU Peace and Security Council (PSC)) to these threats will be closely observed. A standoff between civil servants and the government has escalated after Labor Minister Thulas Nxesi last week said he was unilaterally implementing a 3% wage increase. 14 the In 2017, for example, prominent ANC Youth League leader and Umzimkhulu local municipality councillor Sindiso Magaqa was killed for blowing the whistle on rampant procurement corruption in the municipality. SWP Comment 2021/C 61, 23.12.2021, 6 Pages . It is increasingly likely that political violence could further undermine the democratic nature of the state by eroding trust in the rule of law. South Africa in 2022. The temporary Covid Social Relief of Distress Grant, which allows people in desperate circumstances to obtain R350 a month, is due to expire in March next year. SONA 2022 - Some progress, lots of problems. It can be described almost entirely as an intra-party problem. Its not the constitutions failure to deliver radical economic transformation, but a lacklustre government that has forgotten its promises first adopted in the Freedom Charter and then again in the constitution. Even a few weeks of disruption will dampen growth, at least in the first quarter. Mbete focused the conversation on the way forward that included genuine and context-specific partnerships between sectors and Kahn emphasized that these approaches will need to be diversified and decentralized. Last published date: 2021-09-11. Women and LGBTQIA+ people amplified in new Voice of the Eco-friendly Bentley Bentayga Odyssean Edition debuts, On 22 January, ANC eThekwini metro ward councillor Minenhle Mkhize, On 29 January, IFP councillor and speaker of the Amajuba district municipality, Reginald Bhekumndeni Ndima, 58, was, On 13 February, ANC Nelson Mandela Bay metro councillor Mzwandile Zwelandile Booi. South Africa is the largest U.S. trade partner in Africa, with a total two-way goods trade of $17.8 billion in 2019. The nation's economy was particularly vulnerable to civil unrest, and served to deepen the impact of the riots. Subscribe to the BizNews Insider for your weekday morning read. The Mail & Guardian Politics Besides declining commodity prices, labour union rivalry escalated labour issues, resulting in one of the more prolonged and violent strikes in the country's history. Three ways Covid sped up SAs medicine approvals process and how it can help the National Health Insurance scheme. 2022 BizNews, Inc. | The Rational PerspectiveTerms & ConditionsComments Policy. University of Cape Town provides funding as a partner of The Conversation AFRICA. Sithembile Mbete, Programme Director, Apolitical Academy Southern Africa, moderated the discussion with Kathy Kahn, Personal Professor in the School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, and Principal Scientist in the MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt); Sizwe Mpofu-Walsh, Postdoctoral Fellow at the Wits Institute for Social and Economic Research (WiSER); and Freeman Nomvalo, CEO, South African Institute of Chartered Accountants (SAICA). Intra-state conflict, terrorism, and unconstitutional changes of government are three of the biggest security issues in Africa to monitor in 2022. But this time round, we went in search of solutions. Nomvalo highlighted the issues of the privatizing of law enforcement that undermines the government-provided services. The status quo is a bifurcated political landscape, with the formerly dominant party, the ANC, losing supporters to multiple smaller parties. On November 30, 2021, the Harvard Center for African Studies Africa Office hosted a webinar on South Africa: The Vision of a Prosperous Inclusive Society. Elsewhere, however, the forecast is more troubling: South African growth is expected to fall from 5% in 2021 to 2.2% in 2022, and Nigeria is projected to flatline at 2.7%. That means more and longer planned and unplanned power cuts. 2022, 6:02 PM . Rising protest could sway the arguments on welfare spending. You can find a recording of the panel discussion on our Vimeo page here: https://vimeo.com/653868033, United States - Cambridge1280 Massachusetts Avenue3rd FloorCambridge, MA 02138Africa@Harvard.edu+1.617.495.5265, AfricaBlock C First Floor,Rosebank Office Park181 Jan Smuts AvenueParktown NorthJohannesburg, South AfricaAfricaOffice@Harvard.edu+27.11.214.2790, Chenai Mangachena (College 22 and Harvard Center for African Studies Intern) and Li-Ming Pan (Harvard Center for African Studies Communications). The South African Human Rights Commission has failed citizens of KwaZulu-Natal and chosen to protect the governing party, says the DA. Climate change politics will rise and fall throughout the year. Nevertheless, steady progress will be made in many parts of the world in reducing carbon emissions and using more renewable energy. Political Risk Map 2021: Mid-Year Update. There is a shortage of capacity across all spheres of government, leading to the uneven implementation of policies. For South Africa in 2022 the overriding force in politics will be the continued decline of the ANC. The webinar discussion brought together experts across multiple disciplines. In addition, government is mandated to take affirmative action, within its available resources, to. South Africa has a history of political violence, including a culture of violent protests and political killings. Relations between the United States and China will cast a shadow over international relations and the global economy in 2022. With that in mind, I would like to outline some of the key issues South Africa's economy is facing that we are watching as investors. The book, made up of three parts, covers a wide spectrum of political economy issues on post-apartheid South Africa. This is R16,9 billion more than the R596,8 billion recorded in 2019/20, representing a rise of 2,8%.1 The 2,8% rise is muted compared with the previous three years . Dean of Law and Professor, University of Cape Town. Moreover, political violence breeds a climate of fear and a culture of intimidation. The Associated Press this week obtained drafts of two competing UN resolutions, one from France and Mexico, the other written by South Africa. Authoritarian countries, including Russia, Saudi Arabia, China and Turkey, will remain stable as the leadership of these nations face no immediate major internal or external threats. With more than eighty absorbing selections, the Reader And in another case where there might be no natural anti-ANC, anti-EFF coalition, the Inkatha Freedom Party has sent mixed messages about its willingness (or otherwise) to go into coalitions with the ANC. Vaccination and mask mandates, and the political decisions around these, will eventually fade. The more that economic concerns preoccupy politicians, the less political capital will be spent on climate change efforts even though these two issues are closely linked. Mpofu-Walsh shared his thoughts regarding the new apartheid that the nation is currently operating under. The policy of localisation for the production of goods across a range of industries will push up costs and reduce international competitiveness. Similarly, 86% thought government's handling of job creation was . There are many reasons for the countrys inability to realise the rights set out on the constitution. Interest rates and inflation will both increase, causing hardship to those with modest or fixed incomes. He noted: We are mindful that Parliaments legislative plate is overflowing. Rising costs of living. Predicting what is to happen next year is an exercise in futility. By comparison with other emerging markets this is low growth, and reflects the myriad of constraints due to power cuts and lack of reform. For example, we are seeing the rise of the construction mafias in municipalities such as Tshwane, eThekwini and Nelson Mandela Bay; these illegitimate groupings extort fees from new construction and development projects. South Africa is reportedly taking the lead in an attempt to keep "political issues" out of a United Nations vote on the humanitarian crisis in Ukraine - by not mentioning Russia as its cause. The new year brings with it a raft of uncertainties for South Africa, a nation that has seen plenty of tribulations in the last two years. Adding to the sense of chaos and lack of direction next year will be the politics of minority governments and sorting out the new South African politics of coalitions. Why do they continue to live in segregated spaces that reinforce apartheid geography? This speaker series brings together activists, scholars, practitioners and policymakers working on climate change in the Global South. The next X-Men protagonist - a SARS mutant. Exceptionally high levels of unemployment and inequality characterize South Africa's economy, while poverty remains widespread. In the past few weeks the following murders have taken place: Political killings largely target individuals holding political and occasionally administrative positions in government. This consideration also breeds competition over access to such coveted positions and increases the motivations for competitors to be eliminated. This plays out most brazenly at a local level, as party branches are often interlinked with municipal wards. All material Mail & Guardian Online. You can find a recording of the panel discussion on our Vimeo page here: Copyright 2022 The President and Fellows of Harvard College, Harvard University Africa-focused Courses, Harvard University Africa-Related Resources, African Studies Association Teachers' Workshop 2022. Nardus Engelbrecht - stringer, AP. Inflation is on the rise around the world, and high prices will bring more turbulence in African countries. The expanded unemployment figure released yesterday by Statistics South Africa, which included those looking for work and those discouraged, was 46.6 percent. Mobs attacked shopping malls and factories in two provinces. Daniel Silke presents a political-economy analysis of Budget 2022 for corporate events over the first quarter of the year. Key will be whether existing vaccines can protect against the mutation. Still in the midst of the pandemic, 2022 will bring about a host of significant political issues and events that will impact communities, both locally and globally. Here are 15 Best South Africa Political Blogs you should follow in 2022 1. Biden, who turns 80 in 2022, is rumoured to be planning to run for the presidency again, although he will wait before confirming this publicly. The clause sets out the terms (just and equitable) for compensating owners of land earmarked for expropriation. The deep-seated battles and internal politics within parties are a part of a growing political culture that generates insecurity in the local landscape. The same goes for Donald Trump, who may spend 2022 preparing to become only the second president to serve two non-consecutive terms (the other was Grover Cleveland nearly two centuries ago). First, South Africa's public. The levers of political power at a local level are appealing, because local councillors and political position holders have a significant say in resource allocation towards service delivery. South Africa's Social and Political Challenges . As a result, thousands of lives were lost in KwaZulu-Natal and parts of Gauteng between the late 1980s before the transition to democracy. For South Africa in 2022 the overriding force in politics will be the continued decline of the ANC . At some point, the roaring stock market may turn into a bear market, and a depression could begin. Libya, South Sudan, the Central African Republic, Northern Mozambique, Ethiopia, and Cameroon's north-west and south-west regions are six African conflict hotbeds to watch in 2022. The African National Congress (ANC) led the opposition to apartheid and many top ANC leaders, such as Nelson MANDELA, spent decades in South Africa's prisons. Mid-term congressional elections late in the year will almost certainly have the Republicans retake the Senate, potentially causing a stalemate in Washington for the following two years. South Africa is a constitutional democracy. The threats, attempts of violence and assassinations are more common in specific parts of the province and are a growing concern in Pietermaritzburg, the KwaZulu-Natal Midlands, and the eThekwini metro. More lives were lost in the early 1990s, during and after the first national democratic elections. NEWS DIGEST - Days after it issued a terrorist attack alert in Nigeria, the United States Government on Wednesday notified its citizens that insurgents are planning an attack on large gatherings in Johannesburg, South Africa. Although the text is mainly descriptive, to explain various areas of the . Ideological wars in the U.S. over abortion, gun control, immigration, vaccination and much else will fester, and in some cases intensify. The long-suffering tourism industry, which was gearing up to receive a brace of enthusiastic tourists, had the rug pulled from beneath when SA was shunned by the international community. This year will bring about a host of impactful political issues, both locally and globally. These questions go to the heart of the South African dilemma, namely, persistent economic inequalities and poverty. Therefore, there is the ever-present issue of the duality of the nation's existential dread on one hand and its endowments of hope on the other end. The ANC will hold its national elective conference in December 2022. A divided Korea ensures that the U.S.-supported South Korea and the China-backed North Korea must share the peninsula. The prospect of more conflict is compounded by the evident trend of declining electoral fortunes and fewer majorities for the party. Covid-19 has harmed the economy, with myriad jobs and businesses lost forever. 1. That makes things very messy. In 2022, governments everywhere will be very reluctant to resort to lockdowns. Most of Eskoms power stations, excluding the recent but not fully operating builds at Medupi and Kusile, are now around 40 years old. With only 35.6 percent of the adult population fully vaccinated, South Africa has a very long way to go to even approach herd immunity. Upward pressure on borrowing costs and at some point a default on government debt could be the breaking point. Political violence is still very much part of the countrys political culture and creates a climate of insecurity, even if it is not on the same scale as in the early 1990s. Panelists began by giving their views on the biggest challenges South Africa is facing at the moment and what steps can be taken to address a myriad of socioeconomic and political concerns.